QUOTE
It was Captain Stottlemeyer. You don't need to believe me, you can debate it all you want, but you'll see. On the season finale, it will be known that Stottlemeyer was in fact, the one who killed Trudy. I won't tell you why, because I don't want to ruin the story, also don't ask how I know this, because I won't be back. I just wanted to spoil this for everyone.
QUOTE
Remember your doubt when it happens.
Do you honestly think it's going to be someone brand new introduced in this season? Better yet, do you think it's going to be a character that was already introduced, but wasn't given enough push for anyone to remember? No, it won't be. This is how television shows are. Especially mysteries. I understand your doubt, I was the same way before I actually got involved with television, and knew how everything worked.
Again, watch when it happens. I'm just glad I quoted this message. I'll make sure to come back after the series finale and laugh at you.
statistically you may be right.it will definitely not be a new character
but let me play Monk for a moment:
1. there is no motive. You may argue that Monk took all the spotlight as stottlemeyer's partner, and the captain wanted the spotlight. but:
1a. the captain was there in the hospital with monk. he would not do that if he hated monk so much as to kill trudy
1b. the captain would never hire monk
1c. the captain had no way to know monk would have a psychotic breakdown. cops, especially like stottlemeyer, do not take longshots such as this
1d. if the captain wanted the spotlight so badly he would have killed monk
1e. the captain WANTS monk to solve the case. if he didnt, he would never have helped Monk at times such as Mr. Monk Goes to Jail, Mr. Monk takes Manhatten, or Mr. Monk is on the Run (1 and 2)
2. character connections
2a. we know Warrik Tennyson was given $2000 to build a bomb for Frank Nunn, who was hired by "The Judge." The fact Rollins killed Frank means they had some past connection, which connects to Dale the Whale. i am not saying it was Dale (in fact i believe it WASNT him). but there has to be a connection
2b. based on 2a, Stottlemeyer would need to have some friendly connection to Dale. Monk and Stottlemeyer despise Dale. Also, since Dale knew some things, stottlemeyer would have shut him up already
3. statistical logic as to who it MAY have been
3a. Trevor (Sharona's husband).
3ai. we know trevor cheated on sharona. maybe one of those affairs was with trudy (before Monk and trudy were married, maybe). and trevor killed trudy to prevent her from talking when he wanted to see her again
3aii. based on 3ai, we have a new reason to have sharona return (and we all know she will)
3aiii. the old "introduced, then forgotten" character. but since we know about trevor, he is a possible suspect
3b. Harold krenshaw
3bi. maybe they ran into each other at some other point in time, and Harold was jealous of trudy so he killed her
3bii. less likely than 3a
3c. dr. bell
3ci. perhaps the original plan was dr. kroger (RIP, bless his soul), but he passed. so they changed it to dr. bell
3cii. motive = money. monk pays him all the time. he knows he is paying and he is doing so willingly. but "you know that even a lot of money is never enough" (Leland Stottlemeyer, Mr. Monk and the Little Monk (i may have misquoted)
note: i am not saying it is impossible to have been stottlemeyer. i am simply giving logic as to other suspects who sound more likely