Hi Bubba here, I ran across this article a little bit ago ...
Courtesy of: medialifemagazine.com
Courtesy of: medialifemagazine.com
QUOTE
How the networks will fare midseason
By Diego Vasquez
Dec 11, 2007
Evaluating broadcast network lineups and showsDuring the summer months, viewers have become programmed to look to cable for fresh programming as the broadcast networks go into a heavy rotation of reality shows. Come January, with the writers’ strike ongoing and the broadcast networks readying slates stacked with reality shows, cable could once again benefit, and not just from viewers looking for alternatives to “Farmer Wants a Wife,” one of those new reality shows. The networks are also considering repurposing scripted cable shows from their sister cable networks, such as Showtime’s “Dexter” airing on CBS and USA’s “Monk” on NBC. That would give the shows a huge amount of exposure and could lead to future ratings growth for cable programs. Though media people think some midseason reality shows have potential, including Fox’s “Moment of Truth,” in which contestants are hooked up to lie detectors, they also see a very real possibility that audiences will quickly tire of reality and look to not just cable but also other media to fill the void. Brad Adgate, senior vice president and corporate research director at Horizon Media, talks to Media Life about what midseason shows look most promising, which look least, and why you may start seeing primetime NBA games on ABC.
The networks publicly have been insisting that their ratings will not be much hurt by the upcoming glut of reality programming in the wake of the writers' strike. Do you think the public will embrace reality, because that's all there is, or will we see a backlash against this much unscripted programming?
There are two things. First, there’s an awful lot of reality on cable, so the lines between broadcast and cable will be blurred even more.
Second, the networks have shown a propensity as the season goes on toward airing reality in time periods that aren’t working, with the hopes of getting some sort of ratings boost. And that’s already been happening.
But it really depends on the amount, and it sounds like it will be a lot.
It’s like everything else. We could very well find out what the threshold is of viewers’ acceptance of unscripted programming with this writers’ strike.
Which network's midseason schedule looks the strongest? And the weakest?
Fox, of course, because of “American Idol,” and also because they have 15 hours a week [of programming]instead of 22. And they’ve always been pretty strong.
They also have “Canterbury’s Law,” “New Amsterdam” and the Parker Posey comedy “The Return of Jezebel James.” Also, Fox can always stretch out “Idol.”
ABC is connected to Disney so it may go a little more sports-heavy through ESPN, as well as air some theatrical releases.
Maybe they’ll go with an NBA game now and then that would otherwise air on ESPN. Games with LeBron James or the new Celtics, or maybe even a high-profile college game.
NBC has Universal but also USA, which has been the highest-rated basic cable network in primetime, and so they may run “Psych” and “Monk” and “The 4400,” things like that.
I’m not saying that these will all do huge ratings, but at least they offer viewers something different than reruns and reality.
By Diego Vasquez
Dec 11, 2007
Evaluating broadcast network lineups and showsDuring the summer months, viewers have become programmed to look to cable for fresh programming as the broadcast networks go into a heavy rotation of reality shows. Come January, with the writers’ strike ongoing and the broadcast networks readying slates stacked with reality shows, cable could once again benefit, and not just from viewers looking for alternatives to “Farmer Wants a Wife,” one of those new reality shows. The networks are also considering repurposing scripted cable shows from their sister cable networks, such as Showtime’s “Dexter” airing on CBS and USA’s “Monk” on NBC. That would give the shows a huge amount of exposure and could lead to future ratings growth for cable programs. Though media people think some midseason reality shows have potential, including Fox’s “Moment of Truth,” in which contestants are hooked up to lie detectors, they also see a very real possibility that audiences will quickly tire of reality and look to not just cable but also other media to fill the void. Brad Adgate, senior vice president and corporate research director at Horizon Media, talks to Media Life about what midseason shows look most promising, which look least, and why you may start seeing primetime NBA games on ABC.
The networks publicly have been insisting that their ratings will not be much hurt by the upcoming glut of reality programming in the wake of the writers' strike. Do you think the public will embrace reality, because that's all there is, or will we see a backlash against this much unscripted programming?
There are two things. First, there’s an awful lot of reality on cable, so the lines between broadcast and cable will be blurred even more.
Second, the networks have shown a propensity as the season goes on toward airing reality in time periods that aren’t working, with the hopes of getting some sort of ratings boost. And that’s already been happening.
But it really depends on the amount, and it sounds like it will be a lot.
It’s like everything else. We could very well find out what the threshold is of viewers’ acceptance of unscripted programming with this writers’ strike.
Which network's midseason schedule looks the strongest? And the weakest?
Fox, of course, because of “American Idol,” and also because they have 15 hours a week [of programming]instead of 22. And they’ve always been pretty strong.
They also have “Canterbury’s Law,” “New Amsterdam” and the Parker Posey comedy “The Return of Jezebel James.” Also, Fox can always stretch out “Idol.”
ABC is connected to Disney so it may go a little more sports-heavy through ESPN, as well as air some theatrical releases.
Maybe they’ll go with an NBA game now and then that would otherwise air on ESPN. Games with LeBron James or the new Celtics, or maybe even a high-profile college game.
NBC has Universal but also USA, which has been the highest-rated basic cable network in primetime, and so they may run “Psych” and “Monk” and “The 4400,” things like that.
I’m not saying that these will all do huge ratings, but at least they offer viewers something different than reruns and reality.




